BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Struggle street

15 Sep, 2023
46.1
August
-0.5

Monthly Change

Contracting
Faster Rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector continued to lose momentum in August, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for August was 46.1 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was down from 46.6 in July, and the lowest level of activity for a non-COVID affected month since June 2009. The August result is also well below the long-term average activity rate of 52.9.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that the August result told the tale of another tough month for the sector.

“While the key sub-index components of New Orders (46.6) and Production (43.9) improved slightly from July, the trend since March has seen them all but entrenched in contraction. Any movement towards overall expansion in the sector needs to see a sustained lift above 50.0 for both of these key PMI components. Again, only Finished Stocks (52.1) remained in positive territory for August.”

The proportion of negative comments stood at 66.7%, which was down slightly from 72% in July, but identical to May (66.7%). Manufacturers continued to note general market uncertainty (both domestic and offshore), rising costs, and weather affecting demand as the key negative influences on activity for August.

BNZ Senior Economist, Craig Ebert stated that “while the PMI headline result has been far worse during past recessions, the August result also loses points for its latest composition as New Orders and Production were the biggest drags being 8.0 and 9.5 points below par respectively”.

Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

PMI

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector seems to be in a fundamental flap. The Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) slipped further below the breakeven 50 mark in August, with a seasonally adjusted reading of 46.1.

Read more

Manufacturing consent

How to reconcile the ongoing weakness in the PMI – it’s been below 50 since March – with indications that manufacturing output expanded sizably in the June quarter?

Read more

Industries

Also, manufacturing production looks as though it was strong in Q2 in part because of a spurt of food processing – in turn related to weather patterns over the first half of 2023.

Read more

Other detail

While New Zealand’s PMI is in “good” company internationally – with the likes of the US PMI languishing at 47.6 and the Eurozone PMI at 43.5 in August – there are local contexts to the weakness to appreciate as well.

Read more

Craig Ebert

Craig Ebert

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Aug 2022 Apr 2023 May 2023 Jun 2023 Jul 2023 Aug 2023
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 54.3 48.7 48.7 47.5 46.6 46.1
Production 54.4 47.0 45.8 47.3 43.1 43.9
Employment 52.8 47.6 49.2 47.0 44.8 47.7
New Orders 59.1 49.2 50.2 44.0 45.5 46.6
Finished Stocks 52.3 52.7 51.7 52.4 52.7 52.1
Deliveries 53.1 50.7 45.9 50.2 42.9 47.7

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2019 – August 2023

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

02 Sep 2023
49.0

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

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Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations