BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Slipping away

11 Aug, 2023
46.3
July
-1.1

Monthly Change

Contracting
Faster Rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector slipped further into contraction during July, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for July was 46.3 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining). This was the lowest level of activity since August 2021 when the country was last in lock-down, and well below the long-term average activity rate of 52.9.

BusinessNZ’s Director, Advocacy Catherine Beard said that the July result showed very little signs of potential improvements for the sector as a whole.

“While New Orders (45.0) did improve slightly from June, Production (42.9) dropped to its lowest result since August 2021. Employment (42.9) fared even worse, down to its lowest level of activity since May 2020. Only Finished Stocks (52.6) remained in positive territory.

The proportion of negative comments stood at 72% in July, which was very similar to June (74.5%), but up on May (66.7%) and April (70.3%). Manufacturers noted general market uncertainty, rising costs, and weather affecting demand as the key negative influences on activity for July.

BNZ Senior Economist, Doug Steel stated that “the July result was the fifth consecutive monthly sub-50 reading and, outside of Covid lockdown periods, the lowest reading since the GFC days back in June 2009”.

Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

Manufacturing Under Pressure

The manufacturing sector is coming under increasing downward pressure. It is difficult to reach any other conclusion as the Performance of Manufacturing Index slips further below the breakeven 50 mark.

Read more

Details

The details make for no better reading. July’s weakness was widespread and pronounced across most of the major categories including production, employment, new orders, and deliveries of raw materials.

Read more

Industries

There was no joy looking across industries either. Indeed, every major industry saw their unadjusted PMI under 50 in the month (albeit only just for a couple of them). That is highly unusual.

Read more

World

If there was a world cup for PMI’s, NZ would struggle to make it out of the group stage. Not that the quality of contenders is very high – with manufacturing struggling around the globe.

Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Jul 2022 Mar 2023 Apr 2023 May 2023 Jun 2023 Jul 2023
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 52.6 48.2 48.7 48.6 47.4 46.3
Production 51.4 43.4 47.1 45.8 47.3 42.9
Employment 52.6 47.4 47.6 49.1 46.8 44.3
New Orders 49.9 46.8 49.3 50.1 43.8 45.0
Finished Stocks 49.5 48.6 52.7 51.7 52.3 52.6
Deliveries 50.7 53.4 50.7 45.8 49.9 42.3

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

January 2018 – July 2023

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

02 Aug 2023
48.7

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PMI Releases

One step back

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector experienced stronger contraction during March, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for March was 47.1 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that...

On the improve

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector continued to show improvement in February, but still remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for February was 49.3 (a PMI...

Stuck in low gear

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector improved in January, but still remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for January was 47.3 (a PMI reading above 50.0...

Tough year

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector ended in further contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for December was 43.1 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is...

Little Christmas cheer

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector improved during November, but still remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for November was 46.7 (a PMI reading above 50.0...

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations