BNZ – BusinessNZ
Performance of
Manufacturing
Index

Keeping head above water – PMI

17 May, 2019
53.0
April
+1.0

Monthly Change

expanding
faster rate

New Zealand’s manufacturing sector experienced an increase in expansion for April, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI).

The seasonally adjusted PMI for April was 53.0 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is generally expanding; below 50.0 that it is declining).  This was 1 point up from March, and close to the value experienced in January.

BusinessNZ’s executive director for manufacturing Catherine Beard said that while the improvement in activity for April was welcome, the underlying trend still remains a concern.

“Seasonally adjusted values over the last 6-7 months have remained static between the 52-54 mark range.  Although this indicates the sector is still in expansion mode, the unadjusted series has tended to trend down since late 2017.  If this trend continues, it will eventually have negative consequences for the main published result”.

Despite the slight lift in expansion levels, the proportion of positive comments for April (48.9%) fell back from March (52.6%) and February (51.6%).  Negative comments outlined a lack of orders and customer demand, along with seasonal factors, including Easter.

BNZ Senior Economist, Doug Steel said that “the headline PMI looks reasonable but some of the details have cooled off including new orders. It raises questions for those looking for a strong growth pickup later in 2019”.

Catherine Beard

Catherine Beard

Director, Advocacy BusinessNZ

BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Time Series Data

View seasonally adjusted and unadjusted time series data for the BNZ - BusinessNZ PMI

Manufacturing Snapshot

Almost Normal

We were wondering if April’s Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) would take a holiday hit.  After all, the proximity of Easter, ANZAC day, and school holidays this year had the makings for a few more people than normal to take an extended period off work. But even if that happened, there was little sign that it took much toll on the PMI – at least at the headline level.
Read more

Demand Slower; Inventories Contained

The PMI production component sat at a subdued 50.8 in April. This may have been affected by the unusual timing of holidays, but it’s not clear given that it was virtually unchanged from March.
Read more

Employment

Employment continues to track above average.  Yes it slowed slightly to 51.6 from 52.0, but it remains comfortably above its long term average of 50.7.
Read more

Doug Steel

Doug Steel

Senior Economist, BNZ

Sponsor Statement

BNZ is delighted to be associated with the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) and BusinessNZ.

This association brings together the significant experience of leading business advocacy body BusinessNZ, and business finance specialist BNZ.

We look forward to continuing our association with BusinessNZ and associated regional organisations, and to playing our part in the ongoing development of the New Zealand manufacturing sector.

PMI Time Series Table

The results are seasonally adjusted.

National Indicies Apr
2018
Dec
2018
Jan
2019
Feb
2019
Mar
2019
Apr
2019
BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI 59.0 54.7 52.9 53.4 52.0 53.0
Production 61.1 54.7 50.8 53.6 50.9 50.8
Employment 53.9 52.1 52.0 50.8 52.0 51.6
New Orders 59.4 55.3 52.2 54.6 52.7 52.4
Finished Stocks 55.7 59.5 54.6 54.3 52.7 51.9
Deliveries 59.8 58.7 53.9 55.0 52.7 56.3

BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI Time Series

April 2020 – April 2024

International Results

J.P. Morgan Global Manufacturing PMITM

02 May 2019
50.3

About the PMI

The BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index is a monthly survey of the manufacturing sector providing an early indicator of activity levels.

A PMI reading above 50 points indicates manufacturing activity is expanding; below 50 indicates it is contracting.

The main PMI and sub-index results are seasonally adjusted.

Technical Contact

Stephen Summers
Economist, BusinessNZ

[email protected]

PMI Releases

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Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector experienced stronger contraction during March, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for March was 47.1 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that...

On the improve

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector continued to show improvement in February, but still remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for February was 49.3 (a PMI...

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Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector improved in January, but still remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for January was 47.3 (a PMI reading above 50.0...

Tough year

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector ended in further contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for December was 43.1 (a PMI reading above 50.0 indicates that manufacturing is...

Little Christmas cheer

Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector improved during November, but still remained in contraction, according to the latest BNZ – BusinessNZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI). The seasonally adjusted PMI for November was 46.7 (a PMI reading above 50.0...

Our Contributors

The BNZ – BusinessNZ PMI contains data obtained through BusinessNZ’s regional organisations